Make UK/BDO Manufacturing Outlook Report – Q2 2025

A comprehensive barometer tracking UK manufacturing business trends


Make UK/BDO Manufacturing Outlook

Challenges and optimism in the UK manufacturing sector

Welcome to the latest Manufacturing Outlook Report, created in partnership with Make UK. This quarterly report is your go-to resource for understanding key business trends and future prospects in UK manufacturing. It offers valuable insights that industry leaders can rely on to navigate the current landscape.

Following a sombre set of results in our Q1 report, over the past three months manufacturers have faced rising tax burdens and have continued to navigate volatile international trading conditions. However, despite these challenges, the manufacturing sector has seen a modest uptick this quarter, and manufacturers confidence across the UK has remained remarkably robust.

Our latest report highlights that manufacturing output has seen a modest increase this quarter, a positive shift from last quarter’s negative balance. This growth is particularly noteworthy given the tough economic environment, including higher national insurance contributions, increased global trade costs due to US tariffs, and soaring domestic energy prices.

However, the story is mixed. Manufacturers' order books reveal a balance of -2%, indicating weak domestic demand amid concerns over US export impacts. The US, traditionally a top destination for UK goods, has slipped behind Europe, Asia/Oceania, and the Middle East due to increased uncertainty and tariffs.

Yet, there’s optimism on the horizon. New trade agreements with the EU, India, and potentially the Gulf states have sparked a slight rise in export orders, leading many UK manufacturers to anticipate improved output next quarter.

Employment intentions have shown some recovery, but investment intentions continue to decline slowly. Price increases remain high, and profit margins have been negative for 14 consecutive quarters. Despite these challenges, manufacturers remain optimistic, buoyed by potential trade deals with India and the EU.

Download the Q2 report for a comprehensive analysis of the manufacturing industry’s performance over the past three months. Explore our core indicators—confidence, output, orders, employment, and investment—and gain insights into expectations for the third quarter of 2025.


Download Q2 Report

Net zero in the manufacturing sector

This quarter our report also includes a viewpoint piece on the UK's net zero transition, focusing on manufacturing's role. The Government aims for an 81% emission reduction by 2035 and net zero by 2050, requiring renewable energy and industry decarbonisation. Manufacturers must align with these trends, manage risks, and seize opportunities. Read the viewpoints piece for practical steps focusing on what manufacturers should do to respond to net zero.

Read the viewpoint piece here

If you would like to discuss any of the topics raised in this report, please get in touch with BDO Manufacturing partner.

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The Manufacturing Outlook campaign is a Make UK/BDO partnership providing the most comprehensive barometer of the economic climate facing UK manufacturers, providing up-to-date and detailed intelligence on the state of manufacturing across the UK economy. It is important to us that we understand the challenges that you face in running your manufacturing businesses. It helps us use our skills, experience, and knowledge to make a tangible difference to your business.

The manufacturing sector is hugely important for the UK economy, trade and investment. UK manufacturing employment stands at over 2.6 million people and manufacturing accounts for 49% of all UK exports. Manufacturing also accounts for 16% of total UK business investment and 41% of all UK business research and development. 

The sector continues to prove its resilience as it navigates the challenges it faces from ongoing supply chain disruptions, rising employee costs and energy prices, and a tight labour market, and our quarterly Manufacturing Outlook reports clearly demonstrates the impact of these. Over recent years we have seen a series of the worst and best figures ever reported by our Manufacturing Outlook survey.

  • Digital Transformation

Digital transformation is revolutionising the manufacturing landscape. The adoption of advanced technologies such as artificial intelligence (AI), robotics, and the Internet of Things (IoT) is enhancing productivity and efficiency. Smart factories, where machines and systems are interconnected, allow for real-time monitoring and optimisation of production processes. Digital twins—virtual replicas of physical assets—enable manufacturers to simulate and analyse performance, leading to better decision-making and reduced downtime.

  • Sustainability

Sustainability is becoming a central focus for UK manufacturers. There is a growing emphasis on reducing carbon footprints, minimising waste, and using renewable energy sources. Companies are adopting circular economy principles, where products are designed for reuse, repair, and recycling. This shift towards sustainable practices is driven by regulatory requirements, consumer demand for environmentally friendly products, and the need to address climate change.

  • Reshoring

Reshoring, or bringing manufacturing operations back to the UK, is a notable trend. Factors such as the need for greater supply chain resilience, rising labour costs in other countries, and the desire to reduce transportation emissions are driving this movement. Reshoring helps to mitigate risks associated with global supply chains and supports local economies by creating jobs and boosting domestic production.

  • Skills Development

As the manufacturing sector evolves, there is an increasing demand for a skilled workforce. Manufacturers are investing in training and development programmes to equip their employees with the necessary skills for modern manufacturing. This includes apprenticeships, upskilling initiatives, and partnerships with educational institutions. The focus is on developing expertise in areas such as digital technologies, advanced manufacturing techniques, and sustainable practices.

  • Collaboration

Collaboration is becoming increasingly important in the manufacturing sector. Companies are working together, as well as with research institutions and government bodies, to drive innovation and address common challenges. Collaborative efforts help to accelerate technological advancements, improve competitiveness, and foster a culture of continuous improvement. Industry clusters and innovation hubs are emerging as key platforms for collaboration, enabling knowledge sharing and joint problem-solving.

  • Customisation and Personalisation

There is a growing trend towards customisation and personalisation in manufacturing. Advances in technology, such as 3D printing and flexible manufacturing systems, allow manufacturers to produce customised products at scale. This trend is driven by consumer demand for unique and personalised products, as well as the need for manufacturers to differentiate themselves in a competitive market. Customisation and personalisation also enable manufacturers to respond more quickly to changing market trends and customer preferences.

  • Supply Chain Optimisation

Optimising supply chains is a critical focus for UK manufacturers. The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted vulnerabilities in global supply chains, prompting companies to reassess and strengthen their supply chain strategies. Manufacturers are adopting technologies such as blockchain for greater transparency and traceability, and using data analytics to improve demand forecasting and inventory management. Supply chain optimisation helps to enhance resilience, reduce costs, and improve overall efficiency.

Download our Make UK/BDO Q2 Manufacturing Outlook Report for detailed manufacturing sector insights.

Your Key Contact

Richard Austin

Richard Austin

Deal Advisory Partner, Head of Value Creation Services and National Head of Manufacturing
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Authors

Richard Austin
Deal Advisory Partner, Head of Value Creation Services and National Head of Manufacturing