
Richard Austin
Welcome to the latest Manufacturing Outlook Report, created in partnership with Make UK. This quarterly report is your go-to resource for understanding key business trends and future prospects in UK manufacturing. It offers valuable insights that industry leaders can rely on to navigate the current landscape.
Following a sombre set of results in our Q1 report, over the past three months manufacturers have faced rising tax burdens and have continued to navigate volatile international trading conditions. However, despite these challenges, the manufacturing sector has seen a modest uptick this quarter, and manufacturers confidence across the UK has remained remarkably robust.
Our latest report highlights that manufacturing output has seen a modest increase this quarter, a positive shift from last quarter’s negative balance. This growth is particularly noteworthy given the tough economic environment, including higher national insurance contributions, increased global trade costs due to US tariffs, and soaring domestic energy prices.
However, the story is mixed. Manufacturers' order books reveal a balance of -2%, indicating weak domestic demand amid concerns over US export impacts. The US, traditionally a top destination for UK goods, has slipped behind Europe, Asia/Oceania, and the Middle East due to increased uncertainty and tariffs.
Yet, there’s optimism on the horizon. New trade agreements with the EU, India, and potentially the Gulf states have sparked a slight rise in export orders, leading many UK manufacturers to anticipate improved output next quarter.
Employment intentions have shown some recovery, but investment intentions continue to decline slowly. Price increases remain high, and profit margins have been negative for 14 consecutive quarters. Despite these challenges, manufacturers remain optimistic, buoyed by potential trade deals with India and the EU.
Download the Q2 report for a comprehensive analysis of the manufacturing industry’s performance over the past three months. Explore our core indicators—confidence, output, orders, employment, and investment—and gain insights into expectations for the third quarter of 2025.
This quarter our report also includes a viewpoint piece on the UK's net zero transition, focusing on manufacturing's role. The Government aims for an 81% emission reduction by 2035 and net zero by 2050, requiring renewable energy and industry decarbonisation. Manufacturers must align with these trends, manage risks, and seize opportunities. Read the viewpoints piece for practical steps focusing on what manufacturers should do to respond to net zero.
If you would like to discuss any of the topics raised in this report, please get in touch with BDO Manufacturing partner.
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Richard Austin