Businesses press pause on investment plans to absorb latest global shock

  • Supply chain challenges, rising fuel prices and energy costs top pressures facing UK companies
  • Caution tempers investment intentions as shock from Middle East conflict continues
  • Businesses turning to UK suppliers in bid to reduce exposure to geopolitical shocks
 

More than half (57%) of businesses say a combination of supply chain pressures and higher energy and fuel costs are among their biggest challenges as they grapple with the impact of conflict in the Middle East, according to new research from accountancy and advisory firm BDO LLP.

The bi-monthly survey, covering 500 businesses with revenues between £10m and £500m, revealed that supply chain pressures including material delays and costs, stock shortages, and suppliers folding were a top concern for two in five business leaders (39%) as they navigate this latest economic shock.

These mid-market companies are a key segment for the UK’s economy, contributing more than £1.8 trillion in revenues and accounting for one in three private sector jobs. However, the effect on their growth plans is concerning.

As a result of ongoing uncertainty, three in five mid-sized companies (60%) intend to halt or reduce investment as they wait for the situation to stabilise, rising to over two-thirds in the retail (69%), tech (69%) and financial services (67%) sectors.

These pressures could leave companies making difficult trade-offs behind the scenes. Businesses are considering steps such as increasing customer costs (38%) and delaying hiring or reducing headcount (30%) as a result.

However, a re-evaluation of priorities could also present growth opportunities for UK plc, as companies seek to shore up their supply chains in light of ongoing pressures.

One in three business leaders are looking to prioritise UK-based suppliers (31%), and a further 28% are considering onshoring or nearshoring, in a move that could provide a boost to UK manufacturing.

Last week, BDO’s monthly Business Trends report revealed that its Output Index had risen slightly in April, fuelling suggestions that businesses were frontloading resources ahead of suspected volatility expected later in the year.

As a result of these challenges, business leaders are looking to the government for additional support in case of further escalation. Popular policy or support measures for the next 12 months include dedicated supply disruption support (e.g. the creation of new grants for businesses that are materially impacted) and transport and fuel cost relief.

Richard Austin, partner at BDO, said: “The mid-market is vital to wider UK growth. These companies are an overlooked engine of our economy, but instead of focusing their sights on expansion, they are struggling to absorb the latest economic shock in an uncertain global and political backdrop.

“There are bright spots in this research for UK manufacturing. However, mounting pressures around energy, fuel costs and supply chains, which were issues affecting businesses even before the conflict in Iran, are only adding to the sustained feeling of uncertainty amongst business leaders.

“Now more than ever, it is crucial that the government is listening to the mid-market and helping them address these challenges head on, whether it be through supply chain disruption support or targeted energy cost relief. Addressing these challenges head on could be the key to providing the stability needed to reignite the UK’s economic growth.”
 

ENDS

Note to editors

Findings are based on a survey of 500 C-suite executives in UK mid-market businesses (revenue £10m–£300m). Fieldwork took place between 24 April and 11 May 2026. Some questions allowed multiple responses. The sample was quota-controlled by region and sector, with maximum targets in specific company types (e.g. PE-backed/AIM-listed) also.

BDO LLP operates in 18 offices across the UK, employing 8,000 people. It has UK revenues of £1bn.

It provides Audit, Tax, Deals, and Consulting, Risk & Outsourcing services predominantly to mid-sized, entrepreneurially-spirited, high-growth businesses that are driving growth in the UK economy. BDO calls this segment of the market the UK’s economic engine.

BDO LLP is the UK member firm of the BDO international network.

BDO’s global network

The BDO global network provides business advisory services in 166 countries and territories, with more than 119,000 people working out of 1,800 offices worldwide. It has revenues of US$15bn.

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